is the target of this war?
The question of Syria is complicated. To properly understand
it, it must be put into the general context of the Arab world and the Middle East. If you take a look at a map of the Arab
world, the only country that does not follow the U.S.
line in this area is Syria.
If you take a different look this time at a map of the Middle East, the
only country in this region that does not follow the U.S.
line is Iran.
Whether coincidence or not, it turns out that Syria
are linked by a strategic alliance. Of course, this is not at all a coincidence, the two countries have common interests
diametrically opposed to U.S.
interests. What is the interest of the United States? When successive American
Administrations turn their eyes toward the Middle East, they only see one
The reasons why is it that Israel has occupied such an important place in the Unite
States foreign policy is another matter; it remains that it is a fact that must
be taken into consideration because it influences everything the United States
is doing or not doing in the Middle East.
What is the role that Syria
plays in the region in a way that upsets the United
States and especially Israel? Syria
is the link that binds Iran
to Hezbollah. It is the conduit through which money and weapons reach
Hezbollah. In 2006, Israel
attacked Hezbollah in an attempt to destroy the Resistance movement that is Hezbollah,
and put an end to its influence in order to regain the free hand it once had in
the area and restore its total supremacy. The result of the war was
disappointing for Israel.
Instead of demolishing the Resistance, the Resistance was able to politically prevail
by the mere fact that militarily speaking it was not defeated. Thus a new
situation has emerged, a situation based on deterrence, that
is, deterring Israel, a
situation that Israel
never knew before. From now on, Israel
must think twice, probably more than twice before attacking Hezbollah. This
situation is intolerable for Israel
and it is imperative that something needs be done to put an end to it. The war
failed, the alternative is to cut the umbilical cord that links Iran
to Hezbollah. The umbilical cord is Syria. How can this be done?
The situation created by the "Arab
Spring" that took place in Tunisia,
Egypt, Libya and Yemen,
and that led to the overthrow of the regimes in these countries must be
reproduced in Syria to replace
the Syrian regime with another that is more accommodating to U.S. views. If this is achieved, it
will stop the flow of weapons passing through Syria to reach the hands of
Hezbollah's fighters. After the removal of the Syrian regime, Iran's turn will come. What has
escaped the planners of such a plot is that the situation in Syria is completely different from
that of the countries mentioned above. The overwhelming majority of the peoples
of these countries are opposed to their governments for several reasons that do
not concern us here. On the other hand, half of the people in Syria broadly support the regime.
They consist of the Alawites, the Shiites, the Christians,
the Druze, and the rich merchant Sunnis who profit from the regime. The other
half is infiltrated by elements from outside funded by Saudi Arabia and Qatar
and politically supported by the United States. The participation of
Saudi Arabia and Qatar has
another goal. Once the Syrian regime is toppled, Iran will be increasingly isolated.
What worries the Gulf countries is not so much Syria
but Iran's Shiite influence
in the Arab countries that absolutely must be stopped especially in the Gulf
countries that has a Shi'a majority, as in Bahrain.
In my opinion, this is just a wishful thinking on the part of these corrupt
A word about the Syrian
civilians who supposedly are being massacred by the regime. The
regime has no problem with the opposition from within. The problem is with the outside
opposition that is bent on overthrowing the government at any cost. This is the
reason why this opposition refuses to have any dialogue or negotiation. In
fact, half of the Syrian people supporting the government organizes
demonstrations in favor of the government while calling for reforms of the
political system in Syria.
It also shows its total disagreement with the outside opposition that receives its
orders from countries that want to change the regime. These are the facts that the
Western media avoid mentioning. They present only one side of the story and o not present the other
half. The world hears a truncated story. What actually happens is that these
armed fighters, many of them non-Syrians coming from Sudan, Somalia, Tunisia,
Morocco, even Europe barricade themselves inside neighborhoods like Baba Amr in Homs and practically take civilians as hostages. The
destruction caused by bombings is due to this terrible situation created by the
complete disregard of these fighters for human life.
Regarding the outcome of this problem, we can
only speculate. It seems however that the Syrian regime will not be toppled for
several reasons. Firstly, it has the support of half the population. Also, the
government began making some reforms: for example, a referendum was held on a
new constitution, political parties have begun to form, and within a month a
parliamentary election will take place. Third, Syria
receives political support from two major powers in the UN Security Council: Russia and China. Finally, the cohesion of the
Syrian army, despite several attempts from the outside to break it, has
remained loyal to the regime.